# Oracle is Falling Fast. Here's Why This Wall Street Firm Believes The Stock Will Triple in 12 Months

> **Open Intelligence Dossier** · First detected: 2026-07-19 08:07 UTC · Category: Business

## Executive Summary
Oracle faces a sharp stock decline and a credit downgrade by S&P, while one Wall Street firm predicts the stock will triple within a year.

## Intelligence Brief
Oracle is experiencing a rapid decline in stock value following a credit rating downgrade from S&P. The rating agency has moved the company's status to a level that now stands only one notch above junk. According to reporting from The Times of India, this downgrade is linked to Sam Altman and the fact that OpenAI accounts for roughly half of a specific portion of the company's activity. This financial volatility is evidenced by a surge in Credit Default Swaps and bonds offering returns of 7.8%, as noted by Seeking Alpha. Multiple outlets are highlighting the risks associated with this downturn.


Business Insider reports that the recent credit downgrade could serve as a broader warning sign for other stocks in the market. Meanwhile, Trefis is focusing on the internal risks currently present within Oracle stock. Despite these negative signals, 24/7 Wall St. highlights a contrasting perspective from a Wall Street firm that believes the stock is positioned to triple in value over the next 12 months, suggesting a deep divide in analyst sentiment regarding the company's long-term trajectory. The context for this trend involves a high level of dependency on a single entity. The Times of India specifies that the S&P rating agency pointed to OpenAI's significant role in Oracle's current standing.


The volatility in the Credit Default Swap market mentioned by Seeking Alpha indicates that investors are pricing in a higher risk of default or distress. This creates a high-stakes environment where Oracle's stability is closely tied to the success and partnership of OpenAI and the leadership of Sam Altman, making the stock sensitive to any shifts in those relationships. Looking forward, market participants are monitoring whether the optimistic projections from the Wall Street firm cited by 24/7 Wall St. will materialize or if the warnings from Business Insider regarding broader stock market signals will prevail. Observers will likely track S&P's future rating adjustments and the stability of the OpenAI partnership. The movement of Oracle's bonds and the continued behavior of its Credit Default Swaps will serve as primary indicators of whether the market views the current fall as a temporary dip or a systemic failure.

## Multi-Source Evidence Table
| Source Outlet | Headline | Verification URL |
|---|---|---|
| The Times of India | Oracle rating downgraded by S&P, now stands one notch above junk and the reason is Sam Altman; rating agency says: OpenAI accounts for roughly half of ... | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwJBVV95cUxPaXlqZkdRdFJCMWRzWTc1cHduN3BRUlFEOEtYTHNnOWRmUHRIdG9vWVgtOGZmSUhpQWtQdnN0NnJ6WVhrOUZNVHNJZkNheEVsdG83YlEtelpCQVROVUV3RUM1bDE4Yk9YeVgtTUtsUnhaNUhnc3RnVUxXa1VCT25QemhBXzZUNHJNVVVkckZpaDEwNXlWY3lhMzFxNEc1dlBCS2xFLWdlQVdwYldCcEg2ck1TZk5fLXgydUMta2NUVmFiZVdVUnpqY0l1VVdXbXJJNXU1RHk3Ui1MTXo2Q2RVWjJQNzlSSGVQRDhXaFhMSlNubXBudDAtamtRZ18yR1AwanZRRkpYRDlpWHhyRHFkQTV0TjZSeDJoNjVqRlVmR2FqbVNwLWVoQmF6YjNpYmU4NGNYTkFRNDFxYzFIUWtXMVRpbk5PV0NaREFzeklsbw?oc=5) |
| Business Insider | Why Oracle's recent credit downgrade could be a warning sign for stocks | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxNNDA4TTZ4dlJTYzZzSGZVY1RXbUtaRFhIX0JPdGFrMDlCR2tFZXM1ODl4a3l5dnVtRDBDdmdXVk01djJYUVQwaVZrRmxXbXV3VjJ4X2thUFRIYXFWRGJjanJsTzZYOXFRQnp2endMQTBYV2pHdWhvSlJnYTJnSDdoQkd5V2FKc1BQMEtxRGtkOGNKajBzekFYd0gtWnFra1k4b2pZZUhB?oc=5) |
| Trefis | The Real Risk Inside Oracle Stock | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNRGp3UFRUT2djOVp2M1c1VDlITEQyQUwtLVNjd0ZWMEhLalAxaGpqMHlaSDBwaUx5dlFwZW5RVzViblk1WDlNRVE4NWVGZi1rQkZOZWYxQnhHTFFrV1YwZkN5YU4zT2h1Z3JHV0hteDJrLVUxZk1nSDl6ZDVBUWh4cFFXR0lZcWtzRUpJ?oc=5) |
| Seeking Alpha | Oracle: 7.8% On Bonds As CDS Goes Wild | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxNQmE2NmRvYV9GaDEyY1ZnUmFycUpwMXdsWUEyb3cySk05N3c4UnktYTNVa1FxbEJaam96TEozN2NQclQwWEpKQVY5NlNFVHZYNFgyNURrclZsT2phenlBWDl4UXRqMGdsZWltd1BVaXpIY2ZFMHBSMUpEWFFfbnJwaXQzZVlsZUxHVzQ0dmV3?oc=5) |
| 24/7 Wall St. | Oracle is Falling Fast. Here's Why This Wall Street Firm Believes The Stock Will Triple in 12 Months | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2gFBVV95cUxOMnhvYW9OZzYzSWdHazFpdlFwUnI3ZmEwNXBQYWg2NWhEdnhneUdfekFMMTFITDAzd2pDZ3VrUl94U3hHUGVkOWFSMnhkcERMNFBJa2JRWWFfcnlLckNsRElsN1A4UC1ZaG9Bb1NTaXIwRW9TRTJIZHdIa2lqYTZfN2tuRF9NeUxUSldGUG5rVV9uMldXcjBoVWhnZ2VOLVdGdDJJSXFzZzdNVDlQYVR6ZkQ2ZHhSYkxmU09wdDdoRThObnVUSDZvUEJaYlhSM3lURUNiRlVORDdaQQ?oc=5) |

---
*Canonical Source: https://pulse.byoviral.com/trend/2026-07-19/oracle-is-falling-fast-here-s-why-this-wall-street-firm-believes-the-stock-will*