# After Pretoria peace deal, old enemies in Ethiopia’s Tigray find new ground

> **Open Intelligence Dossier** · First detected: 2026-09-06 10:07 UTC · Category: World

## Executive Summary
Renewed hostilities in Ethiopia's Tigray region are causing mass displacement and drone warfare despite the previous Pretoria peace deal.

## Intelligence Brief
New fighting has flared up in Ethiopia's Tigray region, leading to a significant humanitarian crisis as hundreds of people flee across the border into Sudan. According to coverage from Al Jazeera and Arab News, old enemies in Tigray are finding new ground for conflict, contradicting the stability intended by the Pretoria peace deal. The current instability is marked by active combat near the Sudanese border, forcing local populations to seek safety outside of Ethiopia. This resurgence of violence indicates a breakdown in the diplomatic efforts that previously sought to end the region's cycle of war. Media coverage emphasizes the escalating nature of the violence and the tools being utilized in the current clashes. The Economist highlights the emergence of an undeclared drone war within Ethiopia, suggesting a shift in the tactical landscape of the conflict.


Meanwhile, ACLED is examining whether this new conflict between the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) and the Ethiopian government is mimicking the massive scale of the war that took place between 2020 and 2022. These reports collectively suggest a volatile environment where military technology and large-scale troop movements are once again becoming central to the regional dynamic. To understand why this is trending now, readers must consider the context of the TPLF realignment and its impact on regional stability. Kulu Media reports that this realignment is raising new concerns as tensions grow within Tigray. The previous period of relative peace was established under the Pretoria peace deal, which served as the primary framework for ending the 2020-2022 war. The current transition from a peace agreement back into active fighting suggests that the underlying political and military grievances between the TPLF and the central Ethiopian government remain unresolved, threatening the long-term viability of the peace process.


Looking forward, observers are monitoring the scale of the fighting to determine if it will reach the catastrophic levels seen in the previous conflict. Based on the reported facts, the primary points of focus will be the continued flow of refugees into Sudan and the trajectory of the undeclared drone war described by The Economist. There is an ongoing effort to assess the impact of TPLF's realignment on overall tensions. Whether the Ethiopian government and the TPLF can return to the terms of the Pretoria agreement or if the region is entering a new phase of full-scale war remains the central question for international monitors.

## Multi-Source Evidence Table
| Source Outlet | Headline | Verification URL |
|---|---|---|
| kulu-media.com | TPLF Realignment Raises New Concerns as Tigray Tensions Grow | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTE81aTNzeHhndmo4cC1kY2IxYkEzX3FSOXRaaFFhc1hlSVRMVU1HRHVaTHlLX3A0NU5Gd0NhVHJDVU9VR2pmVGdVMW8yODVwVHdKMFI5SzA5dzBxZl83M2pFeTdmTGhrTUU?oc=5) |
| ACLED | Is the new conflict between TPLF and the Ethiopian government mimicking the scale of the 2020-2022 war? | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxOb1czOFh4SFZUTkN4aXJqdkt6YjE4TldvajJDeW52d3Fza1RMM3lqRGhIZUd5cDZ5cWdfb0NSS2hOMXdHV01aRFBFV3htamNJVDVmYzFfeUVfa3oyUUI5c2lrVTN1anRKSUNVNG1mWmJPTW44MWRjZXRVYW8yYnR1YnJMR0hTcFZFQjBZMzc5TzJTVkgwbUFQcWZ5S3pUUGctemhqU3RLSEZ1LVZWZGYwQy0tMFVpd2cz?oc=5) |
| Arab News | Hundreds flee Tigray into Sudan after fighting flares near border | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNSHFqT282MlgwazdGWGNFTnlaNWhMUFVkUzhfbk5DVTFKZnlvdVlSSUZIMlVYZFFWSFBDUzBwRzlZcW1yRGlYOFgwbnUyaVVxU2dlRUlUakZ6UFpYSWlnUkFoOW9fNGZ6bC1DODV2U3ZxdlJNeVRWMnhsQ0tqS2ZCUnhHOEV6eFBFbERMOE9sMWdwX0x5djZMcHpfSXRqdlN6UVBKbXpKMA?oc=5) |
| The Economist | Ethiopia’s undeclared drone war | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxNYlZaZHBSNkJlVXhrWHZ2UndVZlYwTHN4VE13UHYzSjJnRnEtemIyT0F3MjEyNEZtNGFKdjNZZDUzWWFvS2dSN1BLWlJVMFBVbElDcHNTZk45XzlRTG5DZGZ5SzkxRGpNVkJaUDYya3JfZFluLWwtc296VUFkV2tKdUw3VmdJc1c4ZWZBYmlDQks3YUZQ?oc=5) |
| Al Jazeera | After Pretoria peace deal, old enemies in Ethiopia’s Tigray find new ground | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPNE9DUU9QODdFOFh3cW16VlJJZzB0aHUtWFJmUmVBeGJEbXpqMEs4Zk1uMFh1eHdCYU1NUUVqaFJBYXVUdHQtZ2NDS0FYblpqOXUwbFI5NXIybDllbkpwZjAzVDJvb0ZQZ3VmYjFsQ1VEd3NkbC1hSVF5MTA1cngyZUtUR1kxVUVQUTdKckhnMnFNb3lOclh1MVhFbGJwc0Z4ZFhrOXBJSlpIem1rYjhTQlZFNNIBuAFBVV95cUxOajNyUDBwZk9MNzkzdFU5MFVFbnd6U0stZ2xpX1AySjBBNG9oTjVDeDQ4Ukszbm13YkEwVWZYT0ZCQXExcC1ES1FvdXhKSzZDOE1JSDRQSmVMRmoyNXozWVNuTDlWc0llX1RYX2p6QmM0QXktTFNPMHdwVTVZVk9ycDE0cDJVSDVWcnRhU3pBZzBfR21hOHg1M3FRS2lRNk1) |

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*Canonical Source: https://pulse.byoviral.com/trend/2026-09-06/after-pretoria-peace-deal-old-enemies-in-ethiopia-s-tigray-find-new-ground*