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Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data

Hot inflation data is pushing Goldman Sachs and other forecasters to consider a Fed path of repeated rate hikes rather than cuts.

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The brief

Goldman Sachs has added another rate hike to its outlook for the Federal Reserve following hot inflation data, according to Reuters. The shift comes as other market voices and institutions weigh whether the central bank should move rates higher, with coverage from Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, SMH.com.au and The Age focusing on the possibility of tightening rather than the easing many had previously expected.

The coverage emphasizes a widening range of hawkish scenarios. Reuters reports Goldman Sachs' revised outlook after hot inflation data. MarketWatch, citing Deutsche Bank, says the Fed could hike at each of its next three meetings. Yahoo Finance reports that Ed Yardeni backs a 50-point Fed hike in December, saying such a move is warranted. Separate Yahoo Finance coverage says Wall Street thinks the Fed made a "mistake," while SMH.com.au and The Age both carry the framing that Trump's "Fed nightmare" involves rates not being slashed but potentially surging. The named outlets therefore present the same underlying development from different angles: institutional forecasts, commentary from market figures and broader political framing.

The context a reader needs is that the debate has moved from the prospect of rate cuts to the possibility of hikes, and the coverage does not yet specify the exact inflation figures, the current federal funds rate target or the precise details of what Wall Street believes the Fed got wrong. The reporting does establish that hot inflation data is the catalyst for Goldman's added hike, that Deutsche Bank sees a hike at each of the next three meetings, and that Yardeni is calling for a 50-point December move. The repeated appearance of the same "Fed nightmare" headline across SMH.com.au and The Age shows how closely the issue is being tracked across financial and general news outlets.

What to watch next is whether the Fed's December meeting delivers a hike, and if so, whether the move matches the 50-point increase Yardeni backs. The forecasts from Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank also point to the path beyond a single decision, with Deutsche Bank's projection covering three consecutive meetings. Markets will be watching for further inflation readings and for additional commentary from forecasters and Wall Street participants as expectations are updated. The coverage does not yet establish how policymakers themselves have signaled, nor does it specify the timing or size of any move beyond the December scenario raised by Yardeni and the multi-meeting projection from Deutsche Bank.

Synthesized by PULSE from the headlines below under a strict no-invention contract. ✓ fact-checked: unsupported claims removed (94% supported) Updated 34m ago.

Quick answers

Why has Goldman Sachs changed its Federal Reserve outlook?

According to Reuters, Goldman Sachs added another rate hike to its Fed outlook after hot inflation data.

What does Deutsche Bank expect the Fed to do?

MarketWatch reports that Deutsche Bank says the Fed could hike at each of its next three meetings.

What is Ed Yardeni calling for in December?

Yahoo Finance reports that Ed Yardeni backs a 50-point Fed hike in December, saying such a move is warranted.

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